Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.405065 0.521503 0.647694 0.792826 0.953510 1.124548 1.319016
2025-08-03 0.259969 0.417736 0.606186 0.839261 1.112598 1.417099 1.776608
2025-08-10 0.173615 0.341952 0.560096 0.844623 1.191259 1.588359 2.067528
2025-08-17 0.095535 0.253137 0.480395 0.795415 1.194892 1.665373 2.244938
2025-08-24 0.043948 0.180402 0.405668 0.739062 1.178791 1.710106 2.376724
2025-08-31 0.019096 0.138090 0.364528 0.719543 1.202888 1.798477 2.555951
2025-09-07 0.007705 0.113989 0.346041 0.727412 1.259335 1.924252 2.778120
2025-09-14 0.001240 0.088915 0.319837 0.720242 1.293248 2.020149 2.962737
2025-09-21 NaN 0.064907 0.288706 0.701522 1.308776 2.090928 3.115171
2025-09-28 NaN 0.060872 0.296855 0.743229 1.406831 2.266443 3.396205
2025-10-05 NaN 0.059868 0.311201 0.794703 1.518490 2.459523 3.699169
2025-10-12 NaN 0.055910 0.317768 0.833159 1.611772 2.628966 3.972993
2025-10-19 NaN 0.058286 0.341496 0.903161 1.754212 2.867770 4.340555
2025-10-26 NaN 0.054820 0.350381 0.949088 1.863711 3.065526 4.659228
2025-11-02 NaN 0.043880 0.336862 0.955900 1.916504 3.188848 4.884399
2025-11-09 NaN 0.024903 0.290955 0.903019 1.881054 3.195402 4.962405
2025-11-16 NaN 0.010756 0.244438 0.842782 1.830999 3.180012 5.010584
2025-11-23 NaN 0.004905 0.221046 0.821829 1.836957 3.237245 5.148993
2025-11-30 NaN 0.002661 0.213339 0.830275 1.886837 3.353087 5.361851
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000716 0.198421 0.822584 1.911158 3.433929 5.529647
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.178702 0.802497 1.915019 3.486220 5.660259
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.188930 0.847228 2.020829 3.678019 5.970830
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000013 0.203844 0.902325 2.143117 3.892539 6.310908